India's economy and public finances, from the official numbers

The Union Budget since 2000-01 and India's GDP from the national accounts, read straight from government documents and data services, and checked automatically.

GDP growth, 2025-26
7.8%
real; GDP ₹345.37 lakh crore
Union Budget 2026-27: spending
₹53.47 lakh crore
Budget Estimate
Fiscal deficit, 2026-27
4.3%
of GDP, Budget Estimate
Centre's spending, 2024-25
14.1%
of GDP (actuals); 15.2% in 2000-01

The Centre's budget as a share of the economy

Union government spending, revenue and borrowing (fiscal deficit), each as % of MoSPI's GDP for the same year. Hollow markers: budget figures not yet final.

  • Spending
  • Revenue receipts
  • Fiscal deficit
  • Estimate (no actual yet)
0%5%10%15%20%2004-052011-122018-192025-26Global crisisCOVID-190%5%10%15%20%2001-022004-052007-082010-112013-142016-172019-202022-232025-26Global crisisCOVID-19
Show as table
YearSpendingRevenue receiptsFiscal deficit
2000-0115.2%9.0%5.6%
2001-0215.7%8.7%6.1%
2002-0316.6%9.3%5.8%
2003-0416.9%9.4%4.4%
2004-0515.6%9.6%3.9%
2005-0613.9%9.6%4.0%
2006-0713.7%10.2%3.4%
2007-0814.5%11.1%2.6%
2008-0916.0%9.8%6.1%
2009-1016.1%9.0%6.6%
2010-1115.7%10.3%4.9%
2011-1214.9%8.6%5.9%
2012-1314.2%8.8%4.9%
2013-1413.9%9.0%4.5%
2014-1513.3%8.8%4.1%
2015-1613.0%8.7%3.9%
2016-1712.8%8.9%3.5%
2017-1812.5%8.4%3.5%
2018-1912.2%8.2%3.4%
2019-2013.4%8.4%4.6%
2020-2117.7%8.2%9.2%
2021-2216.1%9.2%6.7%
2022-2315.6%8.9%6.5%
2023-2414.8%9.1%5.5%
2024-2514.1%9.2%4.8%
2025-2613.9% (RE)9.4% (RE)4.4% (RE)

Budget at a Glance (actuals, else revised, else budget estimates) divided by MoSPI's nominal GDP on the 2011-12 base (back series to 2010-11, then the latest estimate). Budgets print their own % of GDP using the GDP estimate known at the time, so their ratios differ slightly from these.

Tax revenue growth vs growth of the economy

Gross tax revenue against nominal GDP, both on the year before. Taxes grew faster than the economy in 14 of 25 years.

  • Gross tax revenue
  • Nominal GDP
  • Estimate (no actual yet)
−10%0%10%20%30%40%2004-052011-122018-192025-26GSTGlobal crisisCOVID-19−10%0%10%20%30%40%2001-022004-052007-082010-112013-142016-172019-202022-232025-26GSTGlobal crisisCOVID-19
Show as table
YearGross tax revenueNominal GDP
2001-02−0.8%8.2% (Back series)
2002-0315.6%7.7% (Back series)
2003-0417.6%12.0% (Back series)
2004-0519.9%14.1% (Back series)
2005-0620.1%14.0% (Back series)
2006-0729.3%17.1% (Back series)
2007-0825.3%15.1% (Back series)
2008-092.0%12.6% (Back series)
2009-103.2%15.5% (Back series)
2010-1127.0%19.9% (Back series)
2011-1212.1%14.4% (Back series)
2012-1316.5%13.8% (Additional revision)
2013-149.9%12.9% (Additional revision)
2014-159.3%10.9% (Third Revised Estimate)
2015-1616.9%10.4% (Third Revised Estimate)
2016-1717.9%11.8% (Third Revised Estimate)
2017-1811.8%11.0% (Third Revised Estimate)
2018-198.4%10.5% (Third Revised Estimate)
2019-20−3.4%6.3% (Third Revised Estimate)
2020-210.8%−1.2% (Third Revised Estimate)
2021-2233.7%18.8% (Second Revised Estimate)
2022-2312.7%13.9% (Final Estimate)
2023-2413.5%12.0% (First Revised Estimate)
2024-259.5%9.7% (Provisional Estimate)
2025-267.4% (RE)8.0% (First Advance Estimate)

Gross tax revenue: Budget at a Glance and Receipt Budget (actuals; revised estimates where actuals are not out), growth worked out from the levels. Nominal GDP growth: MoSPI, 2011-12 base.

The Budget's GDP assumption vs what happened

Every budget ratio (deficit, debt, spending as % of GDP) rests on a forecast of nominal GDP. Blue: the economy came out bigger than the Budget assumed.

Budget at a Glance; MoSPI, 2011-12 base, latest estimate. All budgets, and the Economic Survey and RBI forecasts.

Union Budget

Every budget from 2000-01 to 2026-27: receipts, spending, deficits, taxes, ministries and some 1,400 schemes, with announced figures against what was spent.

Trends · Taxes · Ministries · Schemes

GDP

Growth since 1951-52, every revision of every estimate since 2011-12, forecasts against outcomes, sectors, spending and quarters, on both of MoSPI's series.

Revisions · Forecasts · Sectors · Quarters